SettleRisk quantifies how likely a prediction market contract is to face disputes, delays, or frozen capital. Get a 0–100 risk score, explainable drivers, dispute-adjusted pricing, and settlement delay estimates — all from one API call. Supports Polymarket & Kalshi.
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Navigating the world of prediction markets, whether you're an active trader, a platform developer, or an institutional participant, always carries an element of uncertainty. The biggest friction point isn't usually the market's direction, but the risk associated with its final resolution. That is where SettleRisk steps in, transforming ambiguity into actionable data. Imagine being able to instantly gauge the potential headache waiting at the finish line of any contract. SettleRisk provides a sophisticated Resolution Risk Scoring API that delivers a clear, quantifiable score between 0 and 100, telling you exactly how likely a specific market is to encounter disputes, suffer frustrating settlement delays, or end up with frozen capital. This isn't just a gut feeling; it’s a data-driven assessment that empowers you to make smarter decisions about which markets to engage with, how to price your positions, and when to expect final payouts. For developers building the next generation of decentralized finance tools or for sophisticated traders managing large portfolios, this clarity is invaluable for maintaining smooth operations and protecting capital efficiency.
What truly sets SettleRisk apart is its commitment to transparency and depth. A simple score is helpful, but understanding the 'why' is crucial. Our API doesn't just give you a number; it provides the explainable drivers behind that risk score. You immediately see which factors are pushing the score higher—perhaps the market involves subjective criteria, or maybe it references a data source known for occasional volatility. Furthermore, SettleRisk integrates this risk assessment directly into your pricing models. It calculates a dispute adjusted price, giving you a more accurate valuation that accounts for potential friction costs before they even happen. We even deliver precise settlement delay estimates, allowing you to manage your liquidity expectations with confidence. Currently supporting major platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, SettleRisk is engineered to integrate seamlessly into your existing workflows, offering robust support for the most active and relevant prediction markets today. It is the essential tool for mitigating the often overlooked, yet critically important, operational risk inherent in these dynamic financial instruments, ensuring your participation is as smooth and profitable as possible.